目前，舰船目标威胁评价采用的加法组合权重主观性过强而乘法组合权重结果存在放大效应，同时权重合理性没有依据具有最终客观说服力的火力打击效果来进行分析。针对以上问题，本文分析了舰船作战新武器及其威胁，增加了俯仰角和翻滚角属性并改进了威胁量化函数，提出了2种基于博弈的组合赋权方法，并采用TOPSIS（Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution）方法进行目标威胁排序。通过多波次火力攻防仿真结果表明，提出的博弈组合赋权方法大幅提高了摧毁蓝方的武器单元数量和总毁伤百分比，同时2种博弈方法具有相同的目标威胁排序和蓝方毁伤效果，显示出博弈方法的客观性、优越性和稳定性，可为指挥决策提供更好的参考方案。
At present, the additive combination weights used in warship target threat evaluation are too subjective, while the multiplicative combination weights have an amplification effect. At the same time, the rationality of the weights does not analyze the fire strike effect with ultimate objective persuasiveness. In response to the above problems, this paper analyzes the threat attributes of new warship weapons and improves the threat quantification function, adds the influencing indicators of target identification and strike accuracy-pitch angle and roll angle, proposes two game-based combination weighting methods, and uses the TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution) method to rank the target threat. The simulation results of multi-wave fire attack and defense show that the game combination weighting method proposed in this paper greatly increases the number of weapon units destroyed by the blue side and the total damage percentage. At the same time, the two game methods have the same target threat ranking and blue side damage effect, showing the objectivity, superiority and stability of the game method, which can provide a better reference solution for command decision-making.
2025,47(16): 149-155 收稿日期：2024-9-13
DOI：10.3404/j.issn.1672-7649.2025.16.023
分类号：U674.7；E917
基金项目：江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目（SJCX24_2610）；中国船舶集团系统工程研究院合作项目（2205082223）
作者简介：王录红(2000-),女,硕士研究生,研究方向为博弈论和对抗仿真
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